Investigating the Effects of Ageing on Transmission System Dependability Through the Use of an Artificial Neural Network

Abstract

As power transmission systems age, their dependability becomes increasingly critical for maintaining reliable electricity supply. However, accurately predicting the impact of ageing on system dependability remains a challenging task due to the complex interactions among various components and environmental factors. In this study, we propose the utilization of an artificial neural network (ANN) approach to investigate the effects of ageing on transmission system dependability. The ANN model is trained on historical data encompassing a wide range of parameters including equipment age, maintenance records, environmental conditions, and system performance metrics. By capturing the nonlinear relationships within the data, the ANN can effectively model the intricate dependencies between ageing and system dependability. Through comprehensive simulations and sensitivity analyses, we demonstrate the capability of the ANN to forecast the degradation of transmission system dependability over time. Moreover, the model enables the identification of key factors driving system reliability decline, thereby facilitating proactive maintenance strategies and resource allocation.