Regional Prediction of Crop Yield Success Rate in the Philippines using Geographic Trend Analysis Algorithm

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Francis Alfaro, Francis Dela Cruz, May Garcia, Jan Eilbert Lee ,Wellanie Molino, Fernando Renegado, Darwin Vargas

Abstract

Agriculture holds an important role in the economy of the Philippines by ensuring the food security of domestic products. It involves about 40 % of Filipino workers and it contributes an average of 20 percent to the Gross Domestic Product. Crop prediction in the Philippine’s agriculture is a big problem. At the present time, farmers are having a difficult time in choosing the right crops due to unnatural climate changes, soil type, rainfall, and other environmental factors. These can affect the economic life of farmers and can make them less familiar in forecasting future crops. This project aims to guide the farmers for sowing the reasonable crops by using geographic trend analysis algorithm. The findings from this study demonstrate the potential of the Geographic Trend Analysis Algorithm as a powerful tool for regional crop yield prediction. The success rate of each region will always equate to 100% in context with the set optimal yield prediction where the crop with highest percentage appears to be the dominant one. Irrigated palay (rice) demonstrates a greater rate of success across diverse Philippine regions when contrasted with rainfed or non-irrigated palay, as well as white and yellow corn. Additionally, the methodology employed by the researchers sets the groundwork for upcoming investigations in the domain of agricultural data analytics and geographic information science. This paves the way for a data-centered and sustainable strategy toward crop production in the Philippines.

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